Jul 06, 2011

Trip Report - Illinois and Indiana

Author: Michael Cordonnier/Soybean & Corn Advisor, Inc.

Over the weekend I traveled through Illinois and Indiana to check the status of the corn and soybean crops. In Illinois I traveled from Chicago to Bloomington, south to Springfield, south to Litchfield, northeast to Mattoon, and north to Champaign/Urbana. I divided the state of Illinois into three parts: the northern one quarter of the state, the middle half of the state, and the southern one quarter of the state. In general terms, I would say the crops in the northern one quarter of the state are mediocre, the crops in the middle half of the state are in very good condition, and the crops in the southern one quarter of the state are very problematic.

The northern one quarter of Illinois:

The middle half of Illinois:

The southern one quarter of Illinois:

Illinois summary:

The northern one quarter of the state was about as expected, the middle half of the state was better than expected, and the southern one quarter of the state was far worse than expected. Last year, the corn crop in Illinois averaged 157.0 bu/ac. If the weather during the remainder of the summer is very good, the corn crop might reach the 157 bu/ac level, but it will not reach the 174 bu/ac achieved in 2009 or the 179 bu/ac achieved in 2008.

The soybean crop in Illinois has a long way to go. The crop should do fine in the middle half of the state, but it is so delayed in the southern one quarter of the state that most of the soybeans will behave similar to double crop soybeans. Last year, the soybean crop in Illinois averaged 51.5 bu/ac. Even if the weather remains very good for the remainder of the growing season, I do not think the 2011 soybean crop in Illinois will get close to yielding that high. If we have a good summer, the crop might equal the 46 bu/ac in 2009 or the 47 bu/ac in 2008.

Indiana

In Indiana I traveled east from Champaign/Urbana, IL to Indianapolis, then north to South Bend and east back to Chicago. I am going to divide Indiana into the central one third of the state and the northern one third of the state. In general, I though the crops in Indiana looked worse than I had been expecting because so many of the crops are very late and in poor condition.

The central one third of Indiana:

The northern one third of Indiana:

Indiana summary:

In general, the crops in Indiana were worse than I had expected. Last year, the corn crop in the state averaged 157.0 bu/ac, but I think that would be hard to repeat even with good weather during the remainder of the growing season. Certainly, the corn crop in Indiana will not repeat the 171 bu/ac yield recorded in 2009 or the 160 bu/ac recorded in 2008.

The soybean crop in Indiana has a lot of challenges ahead of it. The crop is so late compared to the average that it will not repeat the 48.5 bu/ac recorded in 2010 and maybe not even the 45 bu/ac of 2008.